Six days after the northern lights, I filed a Freedom of Information Act request with NOAA. I was curious how the agency reacted to the atmospheric event and whether the public deserved to be concerned. I asked NOAA’s Space Weather Prediction Center and National Weather Service for a wide range of records, including emails, photographs, satellite images and threat assessments. A couple of weeks ago, NOAA turned over some interesting documents. The short version is, while we marveled at the light show, scientists were concerned. According to one internal memo, the geomagnetic storm was an “extreme,” rare event and if NOAA scientists hadn’t been on their game it could have been catastrophic.
A May 14, three-page after action memo disseminated by Clinton Wallace, the director of the Space Weather Prediction Center, described the storm’s impact and explained the celestial phenomenon. He said “Solar Cycle 25,” a phase of solar sunspot activity that began in December 2019 and continues through 2030, “has been more active than anticipated, with an intense surge in solar activity marking the beginning of May.” “A large group of unstable sunspots on the Sun’s surface unleashed several powerful solar flares, immediately affecting the Earth’s outer atmosphere and causing disruptions in high-frequency (HF) radio communications,” he wrote. “This had significant implications for trans-oceanic aviation, which relies heavily on HF radio for communication over long distances.”
On May 9, a day before the northern lights extravaganza, staff at the Space Weather Prediction Center “activated” the North American Electric Reliability Corp. hotline to make sure the regulator was prepared. Wallace’s memo said NERC gave about 3,000 electric utility companies a six-hour head start to get ready. The space weather officials also advised the Federal Emergency Management Agency and the Department of Homeland Security’s Cybersecurity and Infrastructure Security Agency on preparedness. Wallace wrote in his memo that the storm caused “significant disruptions across multiple sectors, including navigation, power grids, aviation, and satellite operations.” He also noted that the severity of the geomagnetic storm “underscored the interconnectedness and vulnerability of modern infrastructure to space weather.” Although Wallace said the space weather scientists took steps to mitigate any potential disaster, their work “highlighted areas for improvement in preparedness and response.” He didn’t elaborate.
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